Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM has recently tried their luck in the Uttar Pradesh assembly polls. Before UP, Owaisi has tried his hands in West Bengal as well as Bihar elections. He did not have much political gains in the state, but some believe he did dent other parties banking on Muslim votes as competing communal forces enhance their influence by feeding on each other.
What is going to unfold in UP? Is Owaisi going to garner the Muslim votes and reduce the vote share of Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati’s BSP or Owaisi is not even a factor? Well, the exit polls have some of the answers.
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Asaduddin Owaisi’s wish to expand
AIMIM, commonly referred to as a party of Muslims, thrives on the same agenda. The party has its impact mainly in Hyderabad and around. Currently, party chief Asaduddin Owaisi in an attempt to expand party’s base is contesting in the Northern states like Bihar, West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh.
In attempt to seek prospects to expand and diversify, Owaisi is often claimed to have dented other regional parties and is sometimes also mocked as ‘BJP’s B Team’. However, the exit polls present a different picture altogether.
Exit Polls: The gain of AIMIM in UP
Elections in India are synonymous with exit polls, and we overlook some cases, the majority have been true. This time, the exit polls are predicting a clean sweep for Yogi Adityanath’s government in the state of Uttar Pradesh.
India Today- Axis My India Exit Poll suggests that the BJP is on its way to a comfortable majority. It suggests 288-326 seats for the BJP, SP+ alliance with 71-101 seats, Congress 1-3 seats, BSP 3-9 seats and others 2-3 seats.
As such, the exit polls are not a good sign for the ‘others’. If the predictions hold true, the candidates won’t be able to save their deposits, and major losses will be suffered by Owaisi and his party.
The ‘others’ section of the exit poll contains some prominent names of giants of politics, like Raja Bhaiya. If AIMIM is successful in getting seats even in single digits, it may be a landmark, but at the same time it won’t be counted as a satisfactory win for a party like AIMIM which is contesting on 100 seats in a state like Uttar Pradesh.
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Owaisi and the Owaisi factor in UP
Owaisi’s wish to establish his foothold in UP, in a way, is not going to come true, as per the exit polls. Despite the full-blown campaign led by Owaisi himself, the party as a whole failed to gain substantial support in the state.
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Despite his shenanigans, from threatening the police, as well as CM Yogi and PM Modi, to claiming to send Yogi back to his ‘matha’, Owaisi left no stone unturned to ensure that he is in the limelight. He even milked the Karnataka hijab row to his advantage. However, none of this seemed to have worked much, and even the exit polls advocate for the same.
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To be honest, there is no such ‘Owaisi factor’ in UP, as claimed by many. Owaisi wished to send CM Yogi Adityanath back to math, but it seems that the voters of Uttar Pradesh are determined to send Owaisi back to Hyderabad.
