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BJP will easily lose 65 seats for sure if it doesn’t address the “Bengal problem” immediately

Bengal and the BJP: Amplifying Bengali Representation in the Central Cabinet

Atul Kumar Mishra by Atul Kumar Mishra
17 May 2023
in Analysis, Politics
BJP will easily lose 65 seats for sure if it doesn’t address the “Bengal problem” immediately
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The political firmament of India is abuzz with anticipation as the country braces for the 2024 General Elections. At the core of this dynamic scenario is the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), a political powerhouse known for its entrenched influence in Northern and Western India, and a substantial presence in the Northeast. However, in the Southern states and Bengal, the party’s performance has been less than optimal, a fact accentuated by the recent electoral reverse in Karnataka.

The 2019 General Elections witnessed a surprising twist in Bengal, where the BJP secured 18 out of 42 Lok Sabha seats, marking a seismic shift from its 2014 tally of 2 seats. This remarkable leap indicated the party’s successful foray into a state traditionally dominated by the Trinamool Congress (TMC). To sustain this newfound momentum and to make a serious bid for the Vidhan Sabha, the BJP needs to underscore its commitment to the region through visible Bengali representation in the party’s central cabinet.

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Despite its electoral accomplishments in Bengal, the BJP’s central cabinet has been conspicuously deficient in Bengali representation. This issue becomes particularly significant when we consider the electoral influence of Bengalis across not just West Bengal, but also in Tripura and Assam.

Bengalis contribute to about 30% of the total vote share in Assam. Their cultural, economic, and political influence makes them a formidable demographic. However, the absence of a strong Bengali presence in the BJP’s central cabinet could risk estranging this significant electorate, potentially undermining the party’s political prospects in the region.

Apart from the 42 seats in Bengal, Bengali constituencies also include five in Assam, Dhanbad and Jamshedpur in Jharkhand, two in Tripura, and Jabalpur in Madhya Pradesh. Further, Bengali voters substantially influence an estimated 10 to 15 other constituencies, including notable ones such as Prime Minister Modi’s seat in Varanasi and Nainital in Uttarakhand.

Despite this significant presence, there has been palpable disappointment among the Bengali-speaking populace due to the perceived lack of representation in the central leadership. Although Prime Minister Modi has attempted to tap into Bengali sentiment by honoring cultural icons such as Subhash Chandra Bose, the absence of prominent Bengali leaders in the government has potentially hindered the conversion of this goodwill into votes.

The historical precedent since 1947 has typically seen at least one or two prominent Bengali leaders holding cabinet positions in the central government. However, the current administration lacks a major Bengali face, leading to a sense of disenchantment among Bengalis, who have contributed significantly to the BJP’s seat tally from Bengal, Assam, Tripura, and Jharkhand.

The Bengali electorate of West Bengal, which supported the BJP in the last Lok Sabha elections despite potential backlash from Mamata Banerjee’s administration, now feels a sense of disappointment due to the perceived lack of recognition in the central government. While there are Bengali representatives in the BJP, none currently hold prominent positions.

In its ranks, the BJP boasts several accomplished Bengali MPs who could be considered for central roles. First off, Dilip Ghosh, the stalwart BJP leader, renowned for his instrumental role in establishing the party’s foothold in West Bengal. His astute leadership, grassroots activism, and political acumen have significantly contributed to the BJP’s growth in this traditionally non-BJP stronghold.

Raju Bista, representing Darjeeling, is celebrated for his proactive approach to constituent concerns and his dynamic leadership style. Jayanta Kumar Roy from Jalpaiguri has garnered significant respect and admiration for his tireless dedication to public service. Jagannath Sarkar from Ranaghat, Locket Chatterjee from Hooghly, and Subhash Sarkar from Bankura, have achieved impressive strides in their respective constituencies, their leadership resonating with the grassroots populace.

In addition, Swapan Das Gupta from Tarakeswar and Anirban Ganguly from Bardhaman Purba, have showcased their political acumen and influence consistently. Pratima Bhowmik and Rebati Tripura from Tripura have demonstrated considerable potential and could contribute significantly to the party’s growth at the national level. Biplab Deb, former Tripura CM, was instrumental in shattering the unchallenged 25 years rule of CPM. His potential inclusion in the central cabinet could not only appease the Bengali population but also infuse a fresh perspective into the party’s decision-making process at the national level.

Also Read: Karnataka election results: Time for some serious introspection for BJP

Furthermore, the BJP’s commitment to Bengali representation would also resonate well with the broader ethos of India as a pluralistic democracy. India’s strength lies in its diversity, and for any political party to succeed, it must reflect this diversity in its leadership. By including more Bengali leaders in its central cabinet, the BJP would send a powerful message of inclusivity and representation, reaffirming its commitment to the democratic principles that form the bedrock of our nation.

Historically, the BJP has shown an adeptness in evolving its strategies based on regional dynamics. In the North East, the party made significant inroads by aligning with regional parties and adapting to local socio-political nuances. A similar approach, tailored to the unique cultural and political context of Bengal, could yield substantial dividends for the party in the upcoming elections.

By acknowledging the cultural pride and political significance of the Bengali populace, the BJP could potentially bridge the perceptual gap that currently exists. This could be achieved not only by placing Bengalis in the central cabinet but also by ensuring that their policies and campaign strategies reflect a deep understanding and appreciation of Bengali culture, history, and aspirations.

Moreover, the inclusion of Bengali leaders in the central cabinet would have a positive cascading effect on the party’s grassroots level operations. It would empower local party workers, improve morale, and instill a sense of ownership and belonging among the Bengali cadre of the party. This could significantly enhance the BJP’s grassroots level engagement and bolster its electoral prospects.

So to sum it up, as the 2024 General Elections loom, the BJP stands at a pivotal juncture. By embracing Bengali representation in its central cabinet, the party has a unique opportunity to rewrite its narrative in Bengal. This move could significantly strengthen the BJP’s position in Bengal, Tripura, and Assam, consolidating its 2019 gains and paving the way for a stronger presence in the Vidhan Sabha. In the vibrant tapestry of India’s democracy, representation truly matters. And in the case of the BJP and Bengal, it could potentially be the game-changer that the party needs.

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