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Yogi Adityanath remains unbeatable in Uttar Pradesh as C-Voter survey points to a big majority if elections were to happen today

Sanbeer Singh Ranhotra
by Sanbeer Singh Ranhotra
20 March 2021
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Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, the popular, dynamic and staunch nationalist is all set to return to the chief minister’s office with a landslide majority if elections to the Uttar Pradesh assembly were to be held today, according to an ABP-C Voter survey conducted this month. Contrary to claims that the BJP faces an uphill task in India’s most populous state in the election due for next year, the survey has found that the BJP is miles ahead of any other political party in the state when it comes to both predicted vote and seat shares.

The BJP is projected to win 289 seats in the 403-seat Uttar Pradesh Assembly in March 2021, down 36 from the 2016 election. The Samajwadi Party (SP) is projected to be the second largest party with 59 seats followed by the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) with 38 seats but not posing any real challenge to the BJP. The BJP will be ahead of the second-largest party in the state by a whopping 18 per cent vote share. The party is projected to garner 41 per cent of the vote if elections were to be held in Uttar Pradesh now.

Meanwhile, the ABP – C Voter survey also shows that the Samajwadi Party might get mere 24.4 per cent vote share in case elections in UP are held today. BSP might as well abase itself as survey shows the party might secure just 20.8 per cent vote share, a -1.4-swing compared to last Assembly polls. The survey also projects 5.9 per cent vote share for the Congress party, -0.3 per cent swing compared to 2016 elections.

In terms of seats, the SP is likely to get 59 seats, an addition of 12 seats from its 2016 tally in case elections in Uttar Pradesh happen today. The BSP and Congress may get 38 seats (+19), 9 seats (-3) respectively. The Samajwadi Party is projected to emerge as the second-largest party in the state, although it is miles behind the BJP when it comes to the seat share.

In 2017 Assembly polls, saffron party managed to get a gigantic mandate by securing 41.4 per cent vote share, which translated to the BJP winning 325 seats in a 403-member state assembly. The survey goes on to show how Yogi Adityanath and the BJP continue to be tremendously popular in Uttar Pradesh, and how the voters are not even considering other political parties as worthy of being thought of. The Congress’ fortunes particularly, are set to witness further shrinkage, despite Priyanka Vadra’s desperate campaigning in the state.

It must be remembered that the BJP has not even started campaigning in the state as of now, and close to a year remains before the first ballots for the assembly elections are cast in UP. That gives the saffron party enormous time to even further strengthen its position electorally. It would not be particularly surprising if the BJP, under the leadership of chief minister Yogi Adityanath, were to surpass its own tally of 2016 this time around.

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Sanbeer Singh Ranhotra

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Comments 1

  1. Avatar Thirumala R Halemane says:
    1 year ago

    excellent thanks bestwishes
    worlddramastageSEEKING SUITABLEBRIDES FOROUR SONS, Kaviraj&Shilpi OURGOAL ENABLE REACHfullPOTENTIAL,FUTURE POTUS Mefired bigshock family,India wifeworked lowlevel hardwork promoted,CHILDREN TARGETED.
    ===Fwd:
    2019 June 15
    Me: Beautiful.
    ps:
    Although in severe shock and great stress, we have faced the challenges and moved forward crossing the barriers, biases, impediments etc that came before us, … it was tough, not easy, for my wife and sons and the others also … I brought up my two sons Kaviraj and Shilpi as future presidents of usa, with that attitude/ outlook/ mindset, supporting and encouraging the leadership nature already in them. They are born in usa, grew up in usa and consider themselves as Americans. The country, the people and the whole world including India where we parents are originally from will need their leadership and contributions to go forward towards better future vision in true spirit of America. It is the nature of truth, nature of nature, nature of humanity. It is the only way. There is no other choice. Actually, we do not need a different choice. Because, it is also the best way. Perfect for America and the whole world. Nothing else can be better, however you may look at it. Best wishes. Aummmm….

    The world is dramastage weare actors Our life is what we do OUR ACT, our daily living is our daily acting role, acting finished means life finished. WE ARE SEEKING SUITABLE BRIDES FOR OUR TWO SONS, OUR GOAL IS TO ENABLE THEM REACH FULL TRUE HIGHER POTENTIAL, FUTURE PRESIDENTS OF USA. I was fired from AT&T Bell Labs in 1992 scientist engineer, it was big shock for whole family, in India too. interviews for new jobs blocked. although in shock wife worked from low level hard work later promoted, children targeted.  
    my email trhalemane gmail.com
    mobile +17329389686
    also please feel free to visit my public instagram is thirumalaraya and many posts since 2016 or so=
    Fwd
    2020 September 23
    Me: Ravi, my assessment/ guesses below =
    King of the East = Japan,
    King of the North = Norway,
    King of the South = Saudi Arabia,
    King of the West = United Kingdom,
    Others are being used and/ or helping them directly and/ or indirectly, along with their interests and ideologies, China also included. Nature of the Deep state is involved in various strong ways, including the nature of the different religions and their associated deep states, some extremely very strong… for many others, individuals also, it is just survival under whatever conditions exist for them…
    ===
    On Mon, Sep 14, 2020 Thirumala Raya Halemane  wrote:
     actually, hindus need to reclaim all the temples that were destroyed, forcibly taken over,
     (not just the three that BJP / RSS wanted, mostly for political reasons, vote-banking, otherwise they did not care initially)
     and all the other indians, including muslims, have to understand and accept that.
     it is not their (muslim’s) private property anyway, so they should not worry / have hatred towards hindus in india
     (any allowance of alternate land, is out of sympathetic considerations only)..
     you are forgetting the power of hindu temples, for inspiration etc, when you write like below, that it is less important.
    i disagree.
     in fact, everything depends on it (the recovery of the temples), we might say
    ==++==

    Reply

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