India Vs Canada+West: Why it happened and what will happen?

The Prelude:

India Vs Canada: Trudeau accuses India of a grave act. He claims that Indian agents killed #HardeepSinghNijjar, a Canadian Khalistani terrorist, on Canadian soil. Reacting strongly, Canada ousts the head of Indian intelligence in Canada. India denies these charges. In a measured step, India then expels top Canadian diplomat. India then issues a travel advisory, cautioning its citizens about visiting Canada. It suspends Canadian visa service.

India Vs Canada – The clash of Global North and Global South

Canada, a nation boasting of its place in the G7, embodies the financial might of the Global North. Its membership in NATO demonstrates its allegiance to western military alliances, while its inclusion in the 5 Eyes reaffirms its participation in an exclusive intelligence-sharing cabal that often bypasses the rest of the world. Such affiliations position Canada firmly within the embrace of the Global North, a clique of developed nations wielding significant global influence. Meanwhile, India rises as the vanguard of the Global South. India represents a counter-narrative to the dominance of the Global North. The incident in question, far from being an isolated diplomatic dispute, symbolizes a direct challenge to the sanctity of the Global North’s influence. It’s not merely an attack; it’s a statement, underscoring the evolving power dynamics on the world stage. The West, and particularly #Canada, must re-calibrate and understand this shift, as the Global South, led by #India, asserts its stance.

US’ half-hearted entry

The US initially hesitates, observing from the sidelines, assessing the unfolding diplomatic tensions. But, a shift occurs. Emphatically backing Canada, the US states that the onus is on India to demonstrate its innocence. This sudden alignment amplifies the situation, revealing a deeper geopolitical play. The move showcases the West’s tendency to close ranks, challenging emerging powers like India in the global theater.

But why attack the ‘Pacifist Bharat’?

The roots of the present diplomatic discord stretch deep. Here’s a quick timeline: –

West enforces a collective sanction on Russia amidst the Russia-Ukraine war
India boldly rejects this diktat
Rather than distancing itself, India strengthens its relations with Russia and audaciously continues its arms deals.
India currently leads the De-Dollarization movement.
Alongside heavyweights like China, Russia, the African Union, and South American countries, India challenges the very foundation of Western economic dominance.
T20 summit then emerges as a defining moment. It becomes the most televised and discussed ‘G’ event.
Remarkably, the issue of Ukraine barely surfaces.
The US, Canada, France, and Germany, rather than dictating the narrative, find themselves on the back foot.
Their agendas are overshadowed.
Canada’s Prime Minister Trudeau faces sharp queries about his Pro-Khalistan leanings.

In this evolving scenario, India, often perceived as a pacifist player, takes center stage. Far from its docile image, India showcases its assertiveness and readiness to challenge established global narratives. The dove, it seems, possesses talons and isn’t afraid to display them.

India Vs Canada: All efforts to ‘tame’ India fail

Past efforts to subdue India meet with stark resistance. When the US brandishes the threat of CATSA sanctions, it hesitates to follow through. Jens Stoltenberg, in a bold move, warns the Indian delegation of potential sanctions. However, MEA #Jaishankar, armed with the UN rulebook, silences him decisively. #UrsulaVonDerLeyen, despite her hawkish stance on India, finds herself in a position where she must attend the G20 Summit hosted by India. Notably, she refrains from mentioning Ukraine.

Who will fight and for how long

Trudeau, navigating domestic unpopularity, presented a weak case against India, a challenge that further complicates his position. On the American front, #Biden is treading carefully. The upcoming 2024 election looms large, and upsetting India isn’t an option. The American Indian Lobby, both the world’s strongest immigrant lobby and its wealthiest, is a force Biden cannot afford to alienate. While the global stage is varied, Australia and the UK stand firmly with India. New Zealand, on the other hand, doesn’t quite make an impact. As for the reputed intelligence alliance, the ‘5 Eyes’, current dynamics suggest it might be operating at a diminished capacity, perhaps more aptly described as “1 and a half eye.”

Future Prediction with a 9/10 certainty

The road ahead isn’t without its hurdles. Canada and the US are poised to sling mud, attempting to tarnish India’s image. However, any such efforts will be met with a formidable Indian response –both brutal and swift. #Trudeau will be exposed as the foremost promoter of terrorism globally, severely denting his international credibility. Trump and Poilievre will appease Hindus in US and Canada respectively. In India, a unifying ‘Rally Around The Flag’ sentiment is palpable. This burgeoning nationalist spirit is set to grant PM #Modi an unprecedented third term, potentially his most substantial victory. History will remember him not just as an Indian leader but as the formidable statesman who confronted the West and emerged triumphant.