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What’s with this new “Cost of a Nuclear War” frenzy in the Indian Media?

Kannan by Kannan
30 September 2016
in Opinions
India Pakistan Nuclear War
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Even before the details of the surgical attack carried out by Indian Army across LoC are fully out, a section of media is busy estimating the cost of a nuclear war. Normally the so called self-declared intellectuals accuse the nationalists, whom they consider war mongering fascist morons.

Well, as explained in one of the previous articles, Pakistan, unlike any other nation possessing nukes does not consider them as only deterrent option, but as an offence tactic. As and when the establishment in Pakistan feels their existence is threatened – either militarily or economically, they would puke nukes.

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Given becoming fidayeen is one of the recognised noble professions in that country, their doctrine is in line with the national philosophy of ‘die and let die’.

Even when India was condemning the Uri attack, there was a section of Pakistanis, the chief of Jaish-e-Mohammad being one of the principals, who were boasting of results of messing up with the ‘nuclear’ Pakistan.

Though it is quite understandable for Pakistanis to talk of nuclear war, for they very well understand where their army stands if placed in a conventional war. What is incomprehensible is why a section of main stream media is talking about the repercussions of a nuclear war between India and Pakistan.

Not a single Indian leader worth his salt had even spoken about going to the war. All the government and the party that is in power said was ‘Uri would be avenged’. Even the shrilling voices of Shiv Sena never spoke or mentioned about going nuclear.

As far as the retaliation by Indian Army in the form of surgical strike is considered, even the opposition stood by the government including Sonia Gandhi and Arvind Kejriwal.

Post attack, all India did was simply a declaration statement by DGMO and recognising the attack across the LoC. There was not even a word about repeating these type of attacks.

By yesterday afternoon, i.e., within hours after India’s declaration of attack, first analysis was out detailing the cost of nuclear war between India and Pakistan.

Well, everyone knows the cost of even a conventional war would be a deterrent for any prospering and peace loving nation to venture out.

So, considering the war involving nukes, it is certain that both nations would be like two parties fighting a case in Indian court. Both the winner and loser of a war look same, even if it is a conventional one.

So, what was the point that these analysts were conveying? Don’t they know that they are creating panic in the common citizens of the country, by talking about a hypothetical situation? If the war has to happen, it will happen.

Are they trying to bully India into becoming a nation that doesn’t’ respect its sovereignty?

Do they expect India to meekly surrender to the opponents, for the fear of unsustainable losses in case the war turns into a nuclear one?

Or are they provoking the government to go for a war by confirming that though India may have more losses, Pakistan would be damaged irreparably?

Why bring this topic, when none in power are talking about the war. Yes, all the administration and army did was to prepare for the worse, and that was their job. But, for the analysts talking of the devastating scenarios post a nuclear war, are they not the real ‘War Mongers’?

Yet, they try to appear like doves resembling peace. Is the intention behind these analyses is to make those in power to understand the results and prevent the war, which they may not start by their own?

One thing that is not clear is why these war mongers appear in the guise of liberals?

This particular community that expects cross-border terrorism as the natural trait of Pakistan and wants India to exercise restraint forever has only deteriorated the situation over decades.

Many of these analysts raise the China’s support to Pakistan as how important CPEC is to China’s increasing economic interests. Of course, CPEC is vital to China, but then the Indian market too.

It is for China to decide its priorities and take sides that are in line with their national interests. It is the same for any nation.

It is now on record that John Kerry spoke to Sushma Swaraj and requested not to escalate the situation, post Uri attack. In spite of this, the surgical attack happened.

Perhaps this is the first time India didn’t give in to international pressure. What was the response of United States of America post the strike by India? They acknowledged that Uri type attacks would escalate tensions in the region.

Survival of the fittest is the rule of nature. And survival is the utmost priority for each sovereign nation. However, the definition of ‘survival’ may vary for everyone, depending on their standards.

For Pakistan, if survival means to engage India in a continuous war of thousand cuts, for India it may be to live in peace and prosper. And one cannot live in peace and prosper when being needled by the enemy continuously.

Such nations bleed to death. The retaliation by Indian Army was a much needed response and was due over long time.

If Pakistan considers re-escalating the matter, well, it is their choice.

No nationalist in India wants a war, but that doesn’t mean they are averse to it. And certainly they are not enthusiastic about it. So, it would be better if analysts who borrow heavily from other reports without understanding the difference between fission and fusion stop spreading their wild guesses spreading panic.

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