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The Gamble of Populism: How Political Leaders Roll the Dice with Public Opinion

Vishakha Srivastava by Vishakha Srivastava
21 August 2024
in Politics
The Gamble of Populism: How Political Leaders Roll the Dice with Public Opinion
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Today, populism is a formidable factor in world politics with the power to affect elections, change government policies and even alter history.  At its core, populism is a political approach that seeks to appeal directly to the people, often by bypassing traditional political institutions and norms. While populist leaders often present themselves as champions of the “common people,” their approach is akin to a high-risk casino gamble, where the stakes are incredibly high, and the outcomes are uncertain depending purely upon luck.

The Challenge Of Populism

Populism grows on the soil of discontent and frustration of the public. It arises during a period of economic crises, social unrest or general dissatisfaction with the political class. Populist leaders present themselves as outside the system and understand what it was like for ordinary people in a way that those who were part of the elite culture. This populist appeal is usually accompanied by a charismatic message and bold promises of sweeping reforms.

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But as mentioned earlier, the populist style of governance often deals with the bunch of promises that can clearly never be kept. They promise to carry out economic reforms, changes in social programs or to be in favor of new amendments to the constitution. These kinds of promises usually play to the idea that they resonate well with the general public but in general they are not feasible or sustainable for long-term success.  Because of this, Some of the leaders often struggle to find the balance between what people want with what is actually possible. They have to keep enough public support while also figuring out how to deliver on their promises, which can be a tricky and unstable balancing act.

A Populist Call For Democracy

One significant problem with populism is that it can erode democracy. Today, populist leaders will say that they only represent the people — and all other politicians are corrupt or out of touch. It allows them to completely undermine critical institutions like the courts, media outlets or even elections themselves which is wrong for the overall country.

At other times, populist leaders undermine or dismantle the checks that prevent them from doing so. That can involve tampering with the courts, stifling freedom of the press or bending election laws in their favor. Although these steps may provide the leader with much more control in the short term, they will very well messed up democracy over time. Poorly constructed organizations that do not ensure taking responsibility can easily lead the nation into despotism.

The Economics of Populism: A Field Guide

Among populist leaders, economic populism is almost universal — promising to tackle income inequality, unemployment and other complaints of an economy. Such promises could encompass protectionist trade policies, massive fiscal spending or even the nationalization of strategic sectors. However, such measures serve to provide immediate economic benefits but are often undertaken at the expense of lasting stability.

For instance, policies that protect domestic industries could catalyze some industry growth in short term but may result in a trade war as well increase consumer cost and failure of competiveness. In turn, populist fiscal policies work by injecting huge amounts of government spending into the economy — this can be great in that it helps get things moving and fired up quickly but like most good deals though there is a catch – they do nothing to control ballooning deficits, inflation and unsustainable levels of debt.

Economic populism has quick, short-term results and people like that, but long term the consequences are as bad as they get. So, when the economic reality of a populist approach kicks in, public is more likely to find them in a worst situation. It is like a lottery game where the winner takes all if the luck is with him but looses all at the end if the situation isn’t under his control at the end in the long run.

Social Populism: Dividing the Public

The essence of populism is almost always a division between “us” and “them.” Populist leaders might similarly exploit social, ethnic or religious devisions to appeal for support of certain segments and antagonise others. It tends to lead to further antagonism and disharmony among the various segments of society.

At other times we see populist leaders point the finger at minorities or immigrants for all society’s problems. The result of this process can be unjust policies, human rights abuses and even violence. This can help the leader in getting easy support in short term but is damaging society and ensures long-term divisions within it.

Populism and Foreign Policy: A Risky Game

Populist leaders frequently promotes an aggressive foreign policy, arguing that they seek protection from other external enemies of the country and they are the only defenders and nations protector. They may pull out of international agreements, create barriers to trade with other nations or make threats.

Though they may be popular at home with their tough talking, that kind of stance can and often does lead to isolation, trade battles or worse – conflicts. The short-term gains from stoking national pride could come at the expense of long-term liabilities, including poorer global relationships and less geostrategic pull.

Tags: DemocracyPoliticsPopulism
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