While everyone is demystifying the move of the BJP in making Eknath Shinde as the CM of Maharashtra, all political analysts are ignoring the fact that Congress is the biggest loser of this new political development. So let’s analyse what are the major losses for Congress that are pretty evident at this moment.
One state down
The political betrayal of the Shiv Sena in late 2019 proved to be a shot in the arm for the Congress. It virtually got one state government on a platter, as the people’s mandate was never in its favour. But yesterday’s development has reversed it and finally the people’s mandate is being respected in Maharashtra. The Shinde led Hindutva Yuti has thrown away the Congress party from the power circles of one more state.
The Congress party, which once governed virtually the entire political stretch of India is now reduced to just two states where it is in power – Rajasthan and Chattisgarh. Interestingly, in both the states, the Congress has severe infighting going on. The same infighting became a reason for its debacle in Punjab and Madhya Pradesh. So, don’t be surprised if the infighting in Congress results in a further loss in Rajasthan and Chattisgarh.
Additionally, in Jharkhand, Congress is in a ruling alliance but that too is shaky. The Jharkhand CM has dark legal clouds looming over his head. If found guilty in any of the criminal cases, CM Hemant Soren may be disqualified and put behind bars, causing the collapse of the state government.
Distrust among the ‘voters’
Before the 2019 Maharashtra assembly election no political analyst could have imagined an alliance between the Congress – notorious as being a Pro-Muslim party and ‘Far Right’ Hindutva party Shiv Sena. In the last decade or so, the Congress party has virtually no committed voter base. On seats where it is in direct fight with BJP, the anti-BJP votes, predominantly voters among Muslim community, cast their vote in favour of the grand old party. But the coalition with politically ostracised ‘Hindutva’ ideolog Shiv Sena has irked this voter base as well.
Additionally, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) have taken a lead in the Maratha plank, which is considered to be one of the dominant factors in Maharashtra politics. So, a strengthened BJP and NCP will leave no space for the Congress on this front. This again hints Congress as the biggest loser.
Threat to dynasty politics
The successful rebellion by a grounded leader Eknath Shinde has opened new flood gates against dynastic politics. Currently the dynasts sitting in Delhi are calling the shots for the state party unit. Angst against this has been eternally visible, and it will now gain a new fervour. Some Congress satrap in Maharashtra may replicate it within the party and the Congress may suffer a split in the state legislative party.
Additionally, the Congress has a long list of splits and defections whenever it is in opposition. Evidently, the Congress witnessed few cross-voting in the recently concluded Rajya Sabha and state legislative council elections. That happened at a time when MVA was in power. So, the change of government may open flood gates of defection within the party.
The grand old party Congress has no defined ideology and lack of committed voters. Without which it is doom to face political oblivion in the Maharashtra as well, and will prove to be the biggest loser of collapse of the tripod MVA government.
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