Germany’s story with Islam and immigration is like a complicated puzzle with many pieces that don’t always fit together smoothly. At the heart of this situation is the Magdeburg Christmas market attack, where two died and more than 200 got injured, which shows just how complex things have become. What makes this incident particularly interesting is that Taleb al-Abdulmohsen, a Saudi Arabian Shia migrant, has made his image as an ex-Muslim atheist. However, this claim looks invalid when we see a clear alert and intelligence provided by Saudi Arabia. The Kingdom had asked Germany to hand over the man back in 2007 and 2008, claiming the nature of the man. However, Germany refused to return this man, citing human rights and freedom and neglected the intelligence provided by the Kingdom.
This event is just one piece of a much bigger picture. Between 2016 and 2024, Germany has dealt with more than 30 violent incidents connected to Islamic extremism. These ranged from knife attacks to people trying to burn down buildings. For example, in 2016, there was an incident where a teenager attacked train passengers with an axe while shouting “Allahu Akbar”. More recently, in 2024, authorities stopped a planned attack on Israel’s embassy in Berlin.
But here’s where things get more complicated: while Germany is dealing with threats from Islamic extremists, it’s also facing problems from people who are strongly condemning these Islamic jihadist incidents. The people in German society are angry about the handling of immigration, which is bringing hate and violence in Germany.
Looking at the demography of Germany helps explain why these tensions exist. According to Statista, the Muslim population in Germany in 2010 was 4.1 %, but right now, Muslims make up about 6.6% of Germany’s population, but this could grow to nearly 19% by 2050 if immigration continues at high levels. Between 2010 and 2016, the number of Muslims in Germany increased from 3.3 million (4.1% of the population) to nearly 5 million (6.1%), while the overall population decreased slightly from 77.1 million to 76.5 million. Immigration has played a significant role in the rise of Germany’s Muslim community. This would be an even bigger change than what’s expected in countries like France (18%) and the UK (17.2%). This rapid change makes some people nervous about how it might affect German society and culture.
The situation really kicked into high gear in 2015 when Angela Merkel, then Germany’s leader, opened the country’s doors to over a million refugees. Liberal leaders have a basic problem, which can be termed as a Freedom or Humanitarian syndrome; the syndrome does not let them understand that different societies and religions work in different ways. Maybe you are liberal, and you are thinking of the betterment of Humans, but that does not mean everyone thinks the same. According to Europeans, society is more free, and families are more nuclei, but for Indians, our society is free in another sense, and our society is communitarian. In the same way, societies and families in West Asia are different; religion, religious texts and religious teachings matter a lot. Culturally different communities can only live together if they have a common history or tradition; otherwise, it is hard to live together. Immigration policy in Germany brought for humanitarian reasons led to heated debates about whether Germany could successfully integrate so many newcomers, especially those from very different cultural backgrounds, but it looks like it had failed badly.
There are several factors that are driving the growth of Germany’s Muslim population. Muslim families tend to have more children than non-Muslim German families. According to Pew Research Data, The Muslim population is younger than the non-muslim population of Germany at the same time the total fertility rate between Muslim and non-muslim residents varies. Even if no additional immigrants arrive, Muslims will continue to grow in proportion to Germany’s population in the next decades since German Muslims are younger and have more children than Germans in general.
Due to instability and continuous wars in West Asia and North Africa region, there has been a continued migration, which brings more Muslims to Germany. Some Germans are converting to Islam, though this isn’t as significant as the other factors.
This growing diversity has created several challenges for German society. First, there’s the challenge of bringing different cultures together. When people with different beliefs and ways of life need to share the same space, it can lead to misunderstandings and conflicts. Some areas have developed what people call “parallel societies,” where immigrant communities live separately from mainstream German society.
Second, there’s the security issue. While the vast majority of Muslims in Germany are peaceful citizens, a small number of extremist incidents have made many Germans worried about terrorism. This fear has been used by political groups like the Alternative for Germany (AfD) to argue against immigration.
Third, there’s the economic aspect. Helping newcomers settle in, learn the language, find jobs, and build new lives costs money. Some worry this puts too much strain on Germany’s social services, though others point out that immigrants often contribute significantly to the economy once they’re established.
Experts say, “The bottom line is that Germany’s relationship with Islam and immigration isn’t just about numbers or policies – it’s about people and communities learning to live together despite their differences. The success or failure of this effort could shape not just Germany’s future but also serve as an example for other countries facing similar challenges.”
“The solution isn’t as simple as choosing between completely open or closed borders. Instead, Germany needs to find a middle ground that balances being welcoming to newcomers while maintaining social harmony and security. This means having honest conversations about both the benefits and challenges of immigration, working to prevent extremism of all kinds, and helping different communities understand each other better.”
The experts must understand the Muslim society, religion and practices. Only then can they understand the exact problem. We have examples from West Asia to Bangladesh to Pakistan of how they treat their minorities in their countries. Further, in the list of about 50 Muslim-majority countries, only three are under the list of flawed democracies. The other 47 are either in authoritative rule or Islamic rule or in the dictatorship category. It means freedom and Muslim people have some anti-conception.
What’s clear from all this is that the projected growth of the Muslim population (potentially reaching 19.7% by 2050) is going to be the main troublemaker in future. Governments may come up with policies of community learning and education for the Muslim population, but the scenario is not going to change because it has been educated that Muslims are more attracted to extremism. For example, Abu Bakar-Al-Baghdadi, Osama Bin Laden, Khalid Shiek Mohammad, Afzal Guru, and Masood Azhar, the list is long. Hence, the only apparent solution for this problem is to close borders for Muslim migrants.